If you’ve ever bitten into a Shishito pepper, you know the thrill—and the gamble. Most of the time, you get a mild, smoky, almost citrusy bite. But every so often, one lights your mouth on fire. Gardeners, chefs, and home cooks alike call it the “Shishito roulette.”
This unpredictability isn’t just folklore—it’s backed by science. A 2021 study in Molecular Genetics and Genomics (Kondo et al.) investigated why some Shishito peppers are mild while others pack a punch, even when they come from the same plant. By analyzing capsaicinoid levels and the expression of heat-related genes, the researchers confirmed that the variability isn’t random chance but the result of complex genetic and developmental factors.
In other words, that “one in ten” spicy Shishito is plant science at play.

Even on the same plant, Shishito peppers can range from mild to unexpectedly spicy
The Chemistry of Heat
The fiery kick in peppers comes from a group of compounds called capsaicinoids, with capsaicin being the most famous. These aren’t spread evenly throughout the fruit. Instead, they’re concentrated in the pale inner tissue known as the placenta—the part that holds the seeds. That’s why biting into the walls of a pepper often tastes milder, while chewing closer to the seed cavity brings more heat.
Every pepper has the genetic machinery to produce capsaicinoids, but how much gets made depends on the variety. Some, like bell peppers, have essentially “switched off” these pathways, while others, like habaneros, churn out capsaicinoids at very high levels. Shishitos sit in the middle: they can make heat but usually do so only in small amounts—until environmental factors flip the switch and production ramps up.

Bell peppers like California Wonder have essentially switched off the capsaicinoid pathway, giving them their heatless quality.
The Environmental Component
So what are those environmental factors? you might be asking. This is where the roulette gets interesting. Even when a pepper has the genetic ability to make capsaicin, outside influences decide how much actually ends up in the fruit. Heat, drought, irregular watering, and other stresses often push a plant to turn up the capsaicin dial. Sun exposure matters too: fruits growing on the hot, sunny side of a plant may come out spicier than those tucked in the shade.
In other words, genetics loads the dice, but the environment rolls them.

Environmental conditions can determine, to a large degree, how much heat a particular pepper pod exhibits.
Why Heat Varies on the Same Plant
Here’s where Shishito roulette really shows up. You can harvest a basket of peppers from the same plant, grown under the same care, and still get a mix of mild and fiery fruits. How is that possible?
Part of the answer comes from micro-differences: one fruit ripens on the sun-baked side of the plant, another stays shaded; one experiences a little drought stress just as it’s developing, another doesn’t. These tiny differences can shift capsaicin levels enough to make one pepper spicier than its neighbor.
But research also points to something happening inside the fruits themselves. The aforementioned Shishito study found that fruits with fewer seeds tended to show much greater swings in pungency than heavily seeded ones. In other words, low-seed fruits are the wildcards—they’re more likely to surprise you with unexpected heat. Probably not what you expected.
Put all this together and you can see why no two Shishitos taste quite the same. The plant’s genetics give it the ability to make heat, the environment influences how much, and each individual fruit adds its own layer of unpredictability.

Variations in heat level are usually observed in otherwise mild varieties, like these Trinidad Perfume peppers which typically range from 0-500 Scoville.
Beyond Shishito—Other Roulette Peppers
Shishito may be the poster child for pepper roulette, but it isn’t the only variety that keeps gardeners on edge. In Spain, Padrón peppers have been a tapas staple for centuries, with the saying “unos pican y otros no”—some are hot and others are not. Like Shishitos, most Padróns are mild, but every now and then one brings real heat.
Even peppers better known for consistency can surprise you. Many gardeners report variability in Corno di Toro, a classic Italian frying pepper, where most fruits are sweet but the occasional one carries noticeable heat. The same goes for Craig’s Grande jalapeño, a variety that usually offers steady medium heat but sometimes produces peppers that are noticeably hotter than expected.
These experiences reinforce the same lesson: pepper heat is never fixed. Whether it’s a roulette variety or just a garden favorite with the occasional curveball, each fruit is a unique blend of genetics and environment.

Craig's Grande is our most popular roulette pepper. It adds some extra excitement to jalapeno popper night.
Growing and Cooking Tips
For gardeners, the big takeaway is that you do have some influence over how spicy your peppers turn out. If you prefer them on the milder side, keep plants evenly watered, avoid drought stress, and give them rich, balanced soil. If you’re chasing more heat, a little stress can do the trick—less frequent watering, hotter growing conditions, and leaner soil often push plants to ramp up capsaicin production.
In the kitchen, roulette peppers are best enjoyed in ways that highlight their smoky, green flavor while still letting the occasional burst of heat be part of the experience. Blistering them in a hot skillet or on the grill with just a splash of oil and a sprinkle of salt is a classic preparation. They’re also delicious battered and fried, tossed on pizza, or served alongside a cooling dip like aioli or yogurt sauce to balance the surprise of a spicy outlier.
Think of the variability not as a flaw but as part of the fun—each pepper is a little mystery waiting to be revealed at the table. I hope you're ready for some excitement!

Eating roulette peppers is a bit of a gamble. But here's no need for guilt—this type of gambling is just good, clean fun.
Conclusion
Pepper heat isn’t a fixed number—it’s a living, shifting quality shaped by genetics, environment, and even the quirks of individual fruits. That’s why Shishitos can keep you guessing, Padróns inspire sayings in Spain, and even reliable garden favorites like Corno di Toro or Craig’s Grande jalapeño can surprise you now and then.
Instead of being a drawback, that unpredictability is part of what makes peppers exciting to grow and cook with. Every bite is a reminder that nature doesn’t always play by strict rules—and sometimes, that’s the best part.
Ready to try your own game of pepper roulette? Explore our Shishito Pepper Seeds, test your heat tolerance with Craig’s Grande Jalapeño, or discover even more flavors and surprises by exploring our full collection of heirloom pepper seeds.
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